Keys to Victory
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Advantage
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Why Bobby ? Why ?
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Better Team
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Bush and Koizumi
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Bobby has his lawyer and his Japanese wife to be, who happens to be a
master. Both Bush and Koizumi have a ton of
advisors.
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Match Experience
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Fischer
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Bobby has great match experience. He drew with Reshevsky, He also shut
out Taimanov, Larsen in quarter and semifinal candidate matches in 1971.
Bobby went on to defeat ex World Champion Tigran Petrosian by a 6.5 - 2.5
score. Bobby then went on to become 11th world champion by defeating Boris
Spassky in 1972 by a 12.5 -8.5 score. Bobby also took the 1992 rematch
against Spassky by winning 10 games and losing 5 with 15 draws. As far as
I know Bush and Koizumi never played a chess match.
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Difficulty being defeated
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Even
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Fischer has never lost a serious match. However Bush has never lost an
election. I am not sure if Fischer and Bush are good debaters. One thing is certain, both should keep their mouths shut.
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Better Chess Knowledge
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Fischer
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I don't think either Bush or Koizumi play chess seriously or at all.
However they will benefit from a Fischer Random contest. Bobby will be
unable to use his vast opening knowledge. However I've got to give Fischer
the edge in chess talent.
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Head to Head match ups
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Bush and Koizumi
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Fischer is in prison, both Bush and Koizumi are not yet in prison. I
give a big edge to Bush and Koizumi.
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Match Preparation
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Fischer
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Bush is getting ready for the Presidential Elections. He is also doing
a great job fighting terror world wide. I don't think either Bush or Koizumi
will have time to play chess. What does Bobby have to do any way? He is in
prison and has plenty of time to play chess. In fact Boris Spassky has
even offered to go to prison to help Bobby prepare. However Bobby wants
the beautiful and talented Alexandra
Kosteniuk instead. Bobby is showing he is not so
crazy after all. However this could hurt his insanity defense.
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Current playing trends
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Bush and Koizumi
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I don't think either Bush or Koizumi play. No one even knows if Bobby does
any longer. However Bush is leading in the polls, so I have to give him
the slight edge.
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Players Psychology (* the wild card*)
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Bush and Koizumi
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One thing is certain Fischer does need mental help. He could definitely
benefit from psychiatric treatment. Who knows if Fischer will even push a pawn.
Showing up is not an issue for this match, Because we know where Fischer
is. However Fischer could lose on time.
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9th Pawn
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Fischer
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Fischer is a confident champion. He knows he can beat anyone at chess.
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Who's going to win
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Draw 9-9
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Both Fischer and Bush screw up big, but they always seem to land on
their feet. It should be exciting match. But due to Fischer's brilliant
legal wrangling. He will retain his title with 9-9 score, while serving
10-15.
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